Global Market Research Institute TrendForce on the 10th in the 101st International Conference Center of the National Taiwan University, held the 2017 Technology Industry Big Forecast Seminar. The excerpts of the highlights of this seminar are as follows.
2016 global auto market sales are expected to exceed 90 million units
In 2016, the world's major auto markets began to return to stable growth. The sales of automobiles in China, the US and Europe are expected to grow by 5~8% annually. The annual sales of the global auto market is expected to exceed 90 million units. It will continue to grow steadily in 2017. Tuoba estimates that global electric vehicle sales will also have a peak of 950,000 vehicles in 2016. The Chinese market accounts for more than 50% of sales in the global market. The US market has also rebounded due to sales rebounding.
Zhang Xianping, an electronic analyst at Tuoba Vehicles, said that from the development trend of the global automotive industry, the Internet of Vehicles and autonomous driving will continue to be burned, and the impact will mainly come from the transformation of the vehicle industry chain. After the barriers to the development of the vehicle industry have been broken, other industries have stepped into the vehicle-related industrial chain or cooperated with each other, as evidenced by the combination of sharing economy and vehicle services.
5G generation will redefine 2017 mobile terminal features
As telecom operators and Netcom manufacturers actively deploy 5G mobile network and terminal equipment testing, they will drive smart phones to multi-level services. In the big? According to the development of cloud computing, the upgrade of smart phone functions and virtual reality applications continue to penetrate into various fields, so that the functions of mobile terminals in 2017 will be redefined.
Xie Yushan, senior manager of Tuoba, said that the mobile communication application service in 2017 will be based on mobile health, mobile payment and mobile life. Among them, health care applications still account for a large number of fitness apps, and under the rise of mobile payment, fingerprint recognition will continue to be the mainstream application of global biological payment. In terms of mobile life, the industry is actively deploying smart home services across carriers. In 2017, the car application service will also be more personalized, including security system applications such as entertainment and tire pressure monitoring.
Internet of Things relies on big data applications, artificial intelligence becomes a new bright spot in the market
Since the development of the Internet of Things technology, we have continued to work hard to reform the business model and the innovative service model. In order to achieve the goal of improvement and innovation, it is bound to leverage the big data application, gain insight from data analysis, and learn about blind spots that could not be found in past business operations, including CIO (Chief InformaTIon Officer, Chief Chief Information Officer) The importance of this is more heatedly discussed by the market.
Liu Gengrui, an analyst at Tektronix Internet of Things, pointed out that the explosive data volume brought by big data is beyond the load of traditional enterprise IT architecture, so the innovation of IT architecture will become an area that enterprises will pay attention to in the future. In addition, at the time of various innovations, artificial intelligence has once again been valued by the advancement of deep learning technology. In the future, there will be opportunities to assist humans in making decisions in various fields with highly intelligent algorithms and to achieve the possibility of intelligent automation.
From 2017 to 2019, China's industrial robot sales volume has a compound annual growth rate of 21%.
Bai Dejun, senior manager of Tuo Optoelectronics and Innovation Technology, said that in recent years, China has become the world's largest industrial robot market. Under the Chinese government's active promotion of “machine substitutionâ€, it is estimated that the sales volume will grow to 90,000 units in 2016. . As China's industrial robots' holding capacity and density are still far below the global average, and China's auto brands and most auto parts production lines are still dominated by a large number of manual production, coupled with the huge demand for consumer electronics assembly lines, China is visible. The demand for industrial robots in the manufacturing industry is still quite large.
Tuoba estimates that the sales volume of industrial robots in China in 2017 and 2019 will be 110,000 units and 160,000 units respectively, with an annual compound growth rate of 21%. In 2019, nearly 40% of global industrial robots will be sold to the Chinese market.
The annual compound growth rate of the global medical materials market from 2015 to 2020 is 5.3%.
Trends biotechnology analyst Liu Shining pointed out that in 2015, the global pharmaceutical market reached a scale of US$1 trillion. It is estimated that the market size will reach US$1.5 trillion in 2020 and the compound growth rate will be 6.8% from 2015 to 2020. Among them, population growth and economic growth have made the growth of pharmaceutical markets in emerging countries strong, and the demand for medicines in emerging markets has gradually shifted from infectious diseases to non-infectious diseases.
In the medical device segment, TrendForce estimates that the global medical materials market will reach US$4,845 in 2020 and the compound growth rate will be 5.3% from 2015 to 2020. After the implementation of the PaTIent ProtecTIon and Affordable Care Act, the development of medical materials has gradually shifted to value orientation, focusing more on cutting into the core of unmet medical needs and reducing medical expenses.
In addition, due to the investment in precision medicine or the Human Genome Project in many countries, industry-related players such as next-generation sequencing (NGS) instruments and reagents, genetic testing services, and diagnostic application development are expected to flourish.
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