After the LED backlight LCD TV, the main lighting will become the kinetic energy to re-create the peak value of LED production, but the price is still the key to driving growth, the price of LED bulb has now dropped to about 20 US dollars, Gartner It is pointed out that if you want to expand the market penetration rate, the unit price must be less than 5 US dollars. At that time, the power saving effect brought by installing LED lights will be more prominent, and it is expected to completely replace the incandescent light bulbs, and it is expected that the construction cost will be recovered within 3 years.
Dean Freeman, vice president of research at Gartner, said that LED main lighting can be divided into street lights, commercial and home lighting. The main purchase consideration is price. When the price falls to sweet spot, the market demand will rapidly detonate. At present, the price of LED bulbs is about 20 US dollars. If the price drops to less than 15 US dollars, the willingness of consumers will increase. Once the price drops below 5 US dollars, the energy cost saved by installing LED light sources will be very significant. At that time, LED lights It can replace incandescent bulbs.
In the future, the market size of LED main lighting will be much larger than that of LED TV. Freeman believes that thanks to the policy promotion and subsidy blessings of various countries, and the need for long-term illumination of street lamps, the investment recovery period of LED street lamps is only 1 to 2 years. In contrast, the LED, the price of LED bulbs is still higher than the traditional light source, the commercial, industrial and home lighting market has a longer payback period, but as LED bulb prices continue to fall, it is expected to recover installation costs within three years.
Benefiting from the policy blessings in mainland China, mainland China has now become the world's largest LED street light market. Freeman pointed out that policy is one of the factors driving the growth of the LED market. In 2010, China is expected to replace 600,000 LED street lights, and North America may replace 200,000 LED street lights.
However, the LED street light cakes in mainland China seem to be huge. Many Taiwanese businessmen complain that the revenue contribution is not as good as expected. In this regard, Freeman analyzed that within five years, mainland China will be a major LED manufacturing country with potential, and Taiwan It will still be the main country of production. However, in the past, many Taiwanese companies and Chinese mainland companies have joint ventures with LED companies. However, due to Taiwan government regulations, they cannot hold more than 50% of shares in mainland China. Therefore, they are looking for outsourcing resources in mainland China. And the final assembly situation in Taiwan will become more apparent. In 2009, LED production value approached 6.5 billion US dollars, of which Japanese manufacturers accounted for 45% of the total, the largest is Nichia, and others are Panasonic, Toshiba and so on.
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